The Canadian economy in flux – employment and economic activity moving to manufacturing again

Schwaben small S              Schwaben Blog

 

June 05, 2015

 

Weekly Statistics:

 

Today

Week Ago Year Ago
05June-15 29-May-15

05-June-14

S&P TSX

14,957

15,036

14,604

S&P 500

2,092

2,114

 1,951

DJIA

17,849

18,052

16,943

OIL

$58.42

$59.93

 $93.92

USD vs CAD

0.8017

0.7995

0.9051

Gold

$1,172

$1,189

 $1,256

 

Ontario and British Columbia were the largest contributors in job creations in Canada last month, creating 43,900 and 30,600 jobs respectively. The entire Canadian economy added 59,000 jobs in the month of May compared with a loss of 19,700 jobs in April.  In the wake of the oil-price collapse, Alberta saw the biggest decline in employment, losing 6,400 positions, making it the first month of negative job creation since then.. Other oil producing provinces like New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Labrador lost about 9,000 jobs in total. As we have mentioned in our previous Blogs we expected a reversal of fortunes and as such also employment levels of oil producing versus manufacturing provinces with the collapse of oil prices and the concurrent decline in the Canadian dollar. Jeremy Lawson, chief economist at Edinburgh-based Standard Life Investments said “I think it’s pretty clear that the Canadian economy is going to rebalance over the next two to three years.” The unemployment rate has remained unchanged at 6.8 percent from the last four months. The unemployment rate in Canada averaged 7.73 percent from 1966 until 2015. Last month’s gain in employment numbers is the largest since October 2014 when 62,200 jobs were created. A poor first quarter and a drop in interest rates by Bank of Canada led investors to believe that the Canadian economy is headed for more troubles and economists were expecting another interest rate cut from Stephen Poloz, Governor of Bank of Canada. Friday’s data however  will likely cause the Bank of Canada to reevaluate and  declines in interest rates likely have come to an end. This jobs report is a positive signal for Canadian economy and offers a positive outlook for the remainder of 2015.

Source- Bloomberg, Globe Investor Gold, Financial Post, Market Watch, Trading Economics

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